CEM REPORT, BUSINESS | Nigerian foremost Think-Tank body, the Nigerian Economic Summit Group has declared in its maiden edition of the Business Confidence Monitor (BCM) that the Nigerian business environment is currently operating in the negative.
Almost every operating indicator has been thrown into negative by the policies recently introduced by the current Government having stifled demand and increased cost of doing business.
NESG declares; “The country’s business operating environment is largely negative, as underlying business and economic challenges have amplified significantly. As a result, most businesses faced significant hurdles, limiting their growth performance”.
According to the report, the current business performance index measured from January to September 2024 came to -11.13, indicating a decline in business activities compared with the same period of 2023. The figure indicates a mild negative business performance among businesses due to tightening state of economic activities and reduced demand conditions.
The negative business operating conditions cut across all sectors of the economy. The weakest performance is notable in the Agriculture sector (-22.22), followed by Trade (-13.21) and Manufacturing (-6.07). Non-manufacturing (-5.21) and Services (-2.58) had the least negative business conditions.
The business system is confronted by numerous obstacles. The main obstacles according to the report were high prices (-26.14), limited access to credit (-21.14), constrained cash flow (-1.02), poor demand condition (-29.73), the elevated cost of business (+47.64) and reduced production activities (-14.70).
The biggest challenges faced by the Nigerian business system within the period under review are Limited availability of foreign exchange, inadequate power supply, limited access to finance and insecurity. These issues though have been there, have been aggravated in recent time following liberalization of the exchange market, removal of energy subsidy which has raised cost of fuel and electricity and the unending raising of interest rate in a bid to tackle inflation.
Insecurity on its part became a major obstacle to agricultural production for over 6 years. This explains why the Agriculture sector recorded the weakest performance at -22.22 according to the BCM reading.
However, there is a positive optimism in the future performance of the Nigerian business conditions. The BCM revealed a positive index of +26.86, indicating moderate optimistic expectations of business performance improvement.
Optimistic expectations are driven by the anticipated higher business activities from an uptick in investment, export performance, demand conditions, cashflows and employment.
The Services sector with +2.54 showed the least optimistic, and the Non-manufacturing sector is the most optimistic (+30.54) about the future.